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VO2 Max and Longevity: The Most Important Test for Your Future Health

  • Writer: Sven Rees
    Sven Rees
  • Jun 6
  • 3 min read


Why VO2 Max Is the Best Predictor of Longevity


Heart attacks. Stroke. Type 2 diabetes. Declining function and independence in older age. These are risks that increase as fitness declines—but what if you could measure your risk before symptoms ever appear?

At Exercise Matters on the Sunshine Coast, we use VO2 max testing to provide powerful insights into your long-term health and longevity. Research consistently shows that VO2 max is one of the strongest predictors of all-cause mortality—more than cholesterol, BMI, or blood pressure.



What Is VO2 Max?


VO2 max refers to your maximal oxygen consumption during exercise. It represents how efficiently your body can transport and utilise oxygen—a direct measure of cardiorespiratory fitness.

It is measured in ml/kg/min and reflects your aerobic power, which influences energy production, endurance, and disease prevention.



VO2 Max and Life Expectancy: What the Research Says

Key Evidence:

  • A 2018 study in JAMA of over 120,000 patients showed that low VO2 max was associated with a significantly higher risk of premature death.

  • Each 1 MET increase in cardiorespiratory fitness (3.5 ml/kg/min) is linked to a 13–15% reduction in all-cause mortality.

  • VO2 max outperforms BMI, diabetes, and smoking as a predictor of cardiovascular risk (Kodama et al., 2009).

  • Elite performers (upper 5% for VO2 max) had the lowest mortality rates, regardless of age or underlying disease.



VO2 Max Norms and Longevity Risk

VO2 Max Risk Categories (General Population)

VO2 Max (ml/kg/min)

Health Classification

<25

High Risk – Low fitness

26–35

Moderate Risk – Below avg

36–45

Healthy Range

46–55

Low Risk – Above avg

>55

Exceptional – Longevity zone

Note: Target values depend on age, gender, and medical history, but higher is consistently better.



What Can You Do With Your VO2 Max Results?

1. Targeted Training Zones

  • Use your VT1 and VT2 (ventilatory thresholds) to guide your heart rate zones

  • Improve aerobic base with zone 2 training (60–70% HRmax)

  • Build peak power with interval sessions above VT2

2. Monitor Disease Risk

  • Use VO2 max as a baseline marker to track changes over time

  • A drop in VO2 max can signal early cardiovascular, respiratory, or metabolic issues

3. Optimise Longevity Programs

  • Combine VO2 max data with strength testing, DEXA scans, and movement screens for a holistic health strategy

4. Benchmark Ageing

  • VO2 max typically declines ~10% per decade without intervention

  • Preserve your function, mobility, and independence by targeting VO2 max improvements across your lifespan



Case Study: Peter, 61, Preventing Future Disease

Peter came in for VO2 max testing as part of a healthy ageing program. His VO2 max was 29.1 ml/kg/min, classifying him as moderate risk. He had a family history of heart disease.

We designed a 16-week endurance training block:

  • Zone 2 bike and walking sessions 3x/week

  • 1x interval training per week

  • VO2 retest showed an increase to 36.5 ml/kg/min

  • His blood pressure and waist circumference also improved

Peter now maintains his health with a long-term plan focused on aerobic and strength work.



Frequently Asked Questions

1. Is VO2 max really better than cholesterol or blood pressure?

Yes. VO2 max integrates many systems—cardiac, pulmonary, vascular, and muscular—and reflects functional capacity. It’s a better global indicator of future disease risk.

2. I’m not an athlete—do I need this test?

Absolutely. VO2 max testing is critical for anyone over 40, especially with family history, sedentary lifestyle, or chronic health conditions.

3. How often should I repeat the test?

Every 6–12 months depending on goals and health status. Repeating the test allows for training adjustment and longevity tracking.

4. What’s the best way to improve my VO2 max?

A combination of zone 2 endurance work and interval training. Strength training also supports VO2 improvements through muscle efficiency.

5. Can I claim this under private health?

Yes—if it’s part of a medically directed Exercise Physiology program. We can provide a detailed receipt for rebate.



Invest in Your Longevity

Don’t wait for a problem to arise. Measure your cardiorespiratory fitness now—and build a plan to live longer, stronger, and healthier.

📞 Call (07) 5448 3532🌐 www.exercisematters.healthcare



References:

  • JAMA Network. (2018). Association of Cardiorespiratory Fitness With Long-Term Mortality.

  • Kodama S et al. (2009). Cardiorespiratory fitness as a quantitative predictor of all-cause mortality. JAMA.

  • Ross R et al. (2016). Importance of assessing cardiorespiratory fitness in clinical practice. Circulation.

  • Wisloff U et al. (2009). Cardiovascular risk and VO2 max. European Heart Journal.

  • Blair SN et al. (1995). Physical fitness and all-cause mortality. JAMA.



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Exercise Matters

Exercise Matters

Located at: 

Noosa Mind & Body Allied Health Hub

Shop 4/6 Swanbourne Way, Noosaville QLD 4566, 

Phone: 07 5448 3532

Fax: 07 5353 7106

Noosa Mind & Body
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